"A man is not finished when he is defeated. He is finished when he quits."

Thursday, June 25, 2009

June 25th





No Summary today. It is what it is...
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19 for 20, a 95% win rate. Gain of $542 in 6.5 hours of paper-trading.

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

June 24th


That was a fun finish to the day paper-trading after the Fed announcement. I had forgotten how much I missed the crazy volatility of March. If everyday was like this afternoon, I would say goodbye to my day-job now! I went 15 for 17 between the Fed announcement and the close; $47 in losses offset by $809 in winners... and that's with one-half positions (500 shares). Mostly scalping, I still did not take large portions of most of the moves I was in, nor did I try. I didn't want to have trades go "full-circle" on me by not taking gains when I had them. It's a question of feel & timing... and I have very little for this kind of action! ha!
Overall, a passing grade today but I broke some rules, especially early. I was using one-third positions before the Fed announcement so I was a little too fast and loose with averaging in. My rationalization is that it takes three partial positions at 300 shares to roughly equal a full position so I gave myself three buys to determine my average/final cost, then set my stop ten cents from there. How's that for a rationalization??!! Ha! On each of the averaging-in situations, I scaled out quickly with small winners to lighten the weight, then let the remaining portions ride some. It worked out ok, I had 14 scale-out trades on those two full positions I mentioned, all for winners; representing $376 of my total $1050 for the day.
In hindsight, I should have been trading my live account. I'm kicking myself a little for that.
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Observation of the day: I still have a long way to go to become a real trader. I struggled early trying to get into trends on a relatively slow moving market; stopping out on 5 of my first 9 trades. The other 4 did not stop out ONLY because instead of selling my losing position, I averaged in for a more favorable cost-basis. After this run of stop-outs, as I have done other times this week, I decided to take quick profits when I finally hooked the winning trade. This trade at 11:05 did turn out to be the reversal in SKF that I had stopped out three successive times trying to get. I garnered only 10 cents of the 84 cent move... to add insult to the injury, the price never came within 15 cents of my entry and was a full 25 cents away from my stop. That is incredibly frustrating and it is, of course, all in my head. This is what makes trading such a difficult task. Fighting mental bad habits is the biggest battle.
So, I repeat the mantra: This is really going to take some work to learn how to trade, especially in slow markets. After all, there will be more slow markets than volatile ones going forward. Last September through March was an abherration, pehaps once in a generation. I cannot expect to survive hoping for those times to come back, I have to learn to thrive in a world of ten or twenty cent moves; trading them repeatedly for gains as Scott Farnham does. Only then will I be a trader.
Addendum: One thing I started on Monday was not watching my profit and loss on any trades. To assure that I can't, I removed the column entirely from my IB platform! The only time I know the gain/loss on a trade is when I close it out. I watch the charts exclusively, knowing only my entry price and my stop price.
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32 for 40, win rate of 80%. Gain of $1,050 in 6.5 hours of paper-trading at 1/3 and 1/2 postions.

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

June 23rd


Only got in for the last hour. Made an effort to stick to the stops and I was rewarded again, although the volatility in SKF at EOD made me just a bit uneasy about sticking too long with trends. Stopped out the first trade of the day for $30 loss on a 300 share position (kept my loss under 10 cents per share). Second trade was basically a scratch loss off a position which had a decent gain but re-traced while I was trying to stay in trend... I had moved the stop to B/E. The following trade was my best of the abbreviated session, getting a significant portion of the 3:10 pm red candle. Three more winners after that and I was finished for the day. Mostly a fundamentally sound day... I'd give myself a grade of B-. I stuck in too long for the reversal on the entry of my biggest gainer (16 cents) so I did exceed my stop by 6 cents. Also, the average grade is because of a lack of attention. I missed/watched a couple nice moves go by, including the 3:25 pm red candle and the subsequent reversal beginning at 3:30 pm and topping out at 73 cents around 3:46 pm. I actually watched it during this time... I wasn't like I was busy with something else! Ha!
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4 for 6, a 67% win rate. Gain of $120 in 1 hour of paper-trading.