"A man is not finished when he is defeated. He is finished when he quits."

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

August 25th



It's tough to think "trend" when getting to the markets with only a couple hours left in the day. When I only have a little time to spend, I am mostly studying what's familiar and not necessarily looking for trades. What I see in COCO that is familiar to many stocks: the high volume at 10:15 coupled with a decent price range but the open and close prices are relatively tight together ( a sign of potential reversal, the low of this candle is 7 cents off the reversal at 11:10), same thing repeated near the top of the reversal trend at the 12:10pm candle (this one actually was the reversal top), the ultra-low volume signals at 11:45 and 11:55 prior to the stock beginning a 38 cent leap upward in 15 minutes. How about the doji at 1:05pm coupled with very low volume and a cross of the 7 over the 17 EMA ( a short here with those signals would have yielded up to a 93 cent gain by about 3:30pm, with price never reaching up to touch the entry spot). At 3:20pm: a high volume spike after a long drop- coupled with the candle's wide price range but tight open and close price within 1 cent of the LOD (where I took my paper-trade off these signals of reversal). The next candle was the true reversal candle... the low volume on this turn looks very familiar.
Mostly, I just watch and study. And I like the repetition of signals... day after day. I look forward to the time when I can anticipate them and play many profitably.