"A man is not finished when he is defeated. He is finished when he quits."

Thursday, March 29, 2012

End of Day (EOD)









The last chart I posted earlier turned out to be my last trade of the day. I spent much of the afternoon on the phone with Microsoft Technical Services. Actually, the man from MS was very helpful and solved my software issue, but it took nearly two hours. Anyway, I'm now going to take a moment to recap the day.



I sensed that momo was slowing when I went short at 2:15pm, and I was correct. TNA entered a consolidation area for 50 minutes before breaking out for the last leg of the afternoon trend. A trend that I should have been in all the way had I not tried to get "cute" in my third trade of the day by moving up my original stop as price rose after the 11:35 entry. That is the penalty for seeking protection from the larger stop loss that I had set. Basically, I cheated the mandate I had set for myself. I still took the loss but tried to mitigate it by moving the stop up with price. The problem is that price did not breakout of consolidation before I moved the stop up. I will try to remember that lesson. Don't move the stop until price breaks consolidation and enters trend. The more I think about it, the more I see it is an error of poor fundamentals more so than fear of taking the larger loss. As it turns out, that original stop was just a few pennies above the low of the day and would have not triggered the rest of the day. That also means that I would have had over a two-dollar gain! I assume I would have stuck to my mandate holding until the final 15 mins of the day as I did yesterday.

So close, yet so far away. A bad decision to move my stop and then getting punked on the next trade: stopped out at the low of the 12:35 candle... the one that was the start of the big afternoon move after 2 hours of consolidation. Two unfortunate events... but "almost" does not pay.


Looking at the bright side:

1. I stopped out each trade faithfully which is the whole point of this exercise I am involved in.

2. My stop outs were in areas where my read of trend/momentum change was pretty good. It needs refinement... maybe some patience. I also MUST trade with trend as my first impulse as opposed to trading for reversals. My first two stops of the day would have been avoided had I done this. This is a perenial problem of mine.


Overall, I am happy with today. I am not joyful like yesterday, but I met my goal of exiting only by hitting stops or getting out in the last 15 mins of the session.

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I am noticing as I stay in stocks and don't exit from anxiety that I am paying closer attention to price action while engaged in the action. For some reason, the anxiety has not been present these past few days; I don't dwell on finding a place to exit with quick gains like I was before. For this reason alone I will continue with this plan.

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